INDIA - There are certainties in life: death, taxes, and the ever-present risk of India and Pakistan going to war — and the latest spark could prove to be Tuesday's jihadi Lashkar-e-Taiba terrorist attack that left at least 26 non-Muslims dead on the Indian side of the long-disputed Kashmir region. Visegrád 24 reported today that New Delhi announced "strong measures against Pakistan," including cancelling South Asia-regional SAARC visas for Pakistani visitors, closing the Wagah border crossing, and suspending the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) governing the allocation of water from the region's major rivers.
The first is an inconvenience, the kind of diplomatic tit-for-tat you'd expect after an attack like Tuesday's. The Wagah closure is a more serious measure, but won't bring immediate hardship, and it's easy enough to reopen as a de-escalation measure. But suspending the IWT, Islamabad has previously stated, "could amount to an act of war." Water rights are a very big deal. When people turn on the sink or farmers switch on the irrigation system and nothing comes out, things get serious with all due haste.