GREECE - On Friday, there came the announcement that two Greek banks filed requests with the Bank of Greece for hard cash through the Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) system. The ECB and associated national banks have so far been cryptic about what ELA truly is. But from what I have been able to piece together, it’s an emergency scheme aimed at obtaining immediate cash reserves. Not credit, but cash.
EUROPE - Former BIS chief economist warns that QE in Europe is doomed to failure and may draw the region into deeper difficulties. The economic prophet who foresaw the Lehman crisis with uncanny accuracy is even more worried about the world's financial system going into 2015. Beggar-thy-neighbour devaluations are spreading to every region. All the major central banks are stoking asset bubbles deliberately to put off the day of reckoning. This time emerging markets have been drawn into the quagmire as well, corrupted by the leakage from quantitative easing (QE) in the West.
EUROPE - There is no mess quite so bad that official intervention doesn’t make even worse. As if to prove the point, on Thursday the European Central Bank is expected to unleash a new wave of money-printing worth hundreds of billions of euros in an effort to counter the drift into deflation.
SWITZERLAND - The absolutely stunning decision by the Swiss National Bank to decouple from the euro has triggered billions of dollars worth of losses all over the globe. Citigroup and Deutsche Bank both say that their losses were somewhere in the neighborhood of 150 million dollars, a major hedge fund that had 830 million dollars in assets at the end of December has been forced to shut down, and several major global currency trading firms have announced that they are now insolvent.
GERMANY - The German central bank or Bundesbank said Monday that it stepped up the repatriation of its gold reserves from overseas storage last year. "The Bundesbank successfully continued and further stepped up its transfers of gold,'' the central bank said in a statement. "In 2014, 120 tonnes of gold were transferred to Frankfurt from storage locations abroad: 35 tonnes from Paris and 85 tonnes from New York.'' Germany's gold reserves are the second-biggest in the world after those of the United States and totalled 3,384.2 tonnes this month, according to the latest data compiled by the World Gold Council. Surging mistrust of the euro during Europe's debt crisis fed a campaign to bring home Germany's gold reserve from New York and London, with some political parties fueling fears the gold might have been tampered with.
RUSSIA - The rumors of Russia selling its gold reserves, it is now clear, were greatly exaggerated as not only did Putin not sell, Russian gold reserves rose by their largest amount in six months in December to just over $46 billion (near the highest since April 2013). It appears all the "Russia is selling" chatter did was lower prices enabling them to gather non-fiat physical assets at a lower cost. On the other hand, there is another trend that continues for the Russians - that of reducing their exposure to US Treasury debt. For the 20th month in a row, Russia's holdings of US Treasury debt fell year-over-year - selling into the strength. It would appear the greatest rotations that no one is talking about are the fiat to non-fiat and the paper to physical shifts occurring in China and Russia.
USA - When it comes to America's foreign creditors, only two names matter: Japan and China. And it is in the Treasury buying and selling dynamics of these two entities that we can see how Japan's monetary policy has impacted its holdings of US paper, which just hit a new all time high of $1,242 billion, while on the other hand Beijing's official holdings of Treasurys have remained unchanged since the summer of 2011, and which in July declined yet another month to just $1,250 billion, the lowest since January 2013.
MIDDLE EAST - Senior Iranian and Hezbollah figures killed in an airstrike in Syria this weekend were likely planning an 'imminent' attack on Israel, security sources have claimed. Six Iranian army chiefs died alongside five Hezbollah militants after an Israeli helicopter fired rockets at a convoy in the Golan Heights region on Sunday. Among those killed was Iranian General Mohammed Allahdadi, as well as commander Abu Ali Tabatabai, who is known to have worked with both Hezbollah and Iran.
PHILLIPINES - Pope Francis was elected by 115 cardinals to sit as the absolute spiritual leader of over one billion Roman Catholics worldwide. Only the People’s Republic of China selects the leader of such a large population through such a similarly undemocratic process. And yet, the Pope commands greater love, respect, and obedience from his followers than many democratically elected leaders, including perhaps many of the leaders in whose country he has guested, like the Philippines.
UK - It’s not been a good few days for the wind industry, one of the most highly subsidised parts of the UK economy. The cold weather means that the public is, naturally enough, consuming far more energy to keep warm. Electricity demand reached its highest level this winter on Monday, as my colleague Emily Gosden reports, and yet on that very same day wind turbines generated their lowest output of the season. It was an embarassing moment for an over-hyped industry.
UK - Do-gooding captains of industry and government will travel up a Swiss mountain this week for the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos with one hefty task on their minds: how to make the world a better place. Dozens of heads of state and 2,500 business leaders, along with cultural emissaries and experts from across the entire field of human endeavor, will pile into the Alpine ski town — population 11,142 — for five days of intense workshops, speeches and fast-and-furious networking starting Tuesday night.
EUROPE - Jean-Claude Juncker has compared British membership of the EU to a doomed romance and suggested it is time for Britain to get a divorce from Europe. It is the first time the president of the European Commission has publicly contemplated a British exit and he reinforced his message by insisting he would not get down on his knees to beg Britain to stay.
EUROPE - The rise of populist parties is tipped to cause shock waves across the European Union. Political earthquakes could be in store for Europe in 2015, according to research by the Economist Intelligence Unit for the BBC's Democracy Day. It says the rising appeal of populist parties could see some winning elections and mainstream parties forced into previously unthinkable alliances.
FALKLAND ISLANDS - One of Britain’s newest and most powerful warships was last night heading towards the Falklands to strengthen the islands’ air defences. Navy chiefs have sent HMS Dragon, a Type 45 destroyer, to the South Atlantic after a deployment in Chile. Last night naval sources said the move was part of the MoD’s effort to speed up the “operational drumbeat” by which the Navy keeps guard over the Falklands. With Argentina attempting to lease 12 supersonic bombers from Russia, the MoD is also to install a new £200 million air defence missile system in the islands. This will replace the ageing Rapier missile batteries which were used against the Argentine air force in the 1982 Falklands War.
MIDDLE EAST - Exclusive: How Islamic State fighters have been training new recruits close to Lebanon – and could launch cross-border attacks. Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant fighters in Syria, massed close to the Lebanese border, are threatening to launch attacks across it, the Telegraph has witnessed.