Migrant influx putting EU’s future in grave danger, says French PM
EUROPE - The huge influx of migrants from Syria and Iraq is putting the future of the European Union in "grave danger", French prime minister Manuel Valls has warned. And former Prime Minister Tony Blair said that the EU would face "a huge political problem" if terrorists were shown to be entering Europe among the flow of refugees. The EU needs to pool military capabilities more effectively in response to the migration crisis, he said.
Prime Minister David Cameron acknowledged that Europe was experiencing "very great" pressure from migration and said the UK was "happy to do more" to strengthen external EU border controls, even though it is not part of the Schengen border-free zone which covers most of the continent.
Mr Valls said that European societies could be "totally destabilised" unless the EU imposes tighter controls at external borders. The French PM told the BBC: "It's Europe that could die, not the Schengen area. If Europe can't protect its own borders, it's the very idea of Europe that could be thrown into doubt. It could disappear, of course - the European project, not Europe itself, not our values, but the concept we have of Europe, that the founding fathers had of Europe. Yes, that is in very grave danger. That's why you need border guards, border controls on the external borders of the European Union."
He left little doubt that he believes German chancellor Angela Merkel's announcement last year that her country would welcome thousands of refugees had encouraged more people to come to Europe. "We need to help Germany," said the French PM. "But the main message we must send now with the greatest of firmness is to say that we will not take in all the refugees in Europe."
Saudis ‘will not destroy the US shale industry’
DAVOS, SWITZERLAND - Hedge funds and private equity groups armed with $60 billion of ready cash are ready to snap up the assets of bankrupt US shale drillers, almost guaranteeing that America’s tight oil production will rebound once prices start to recover.
Daniel Yergin, founder of IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates, said it is impossible for OPEC to knock out the US shale industry through a war of attrition even if it wants to, and even if large numbers of frackers fall by the wayside over coming months. Mr Yergin said groups with deep pockets such as Blackstone and Carlyle will take over the infrastructure when the distressed assets are cheap enough, and bide their time until the oil cycle turns.
“The management may change and the companies may change but the resources will still be there,” he told the Daily Telegraph. The great unknown is how quickly the industry can revive once the global glut starts to clear - perhaps in the second half of the year - but it will clearly be much faster than for the conventional oil.
“It takes $10 billion and five to ten years to launch a deep-water project.
"It takes $10 million and just 20 days to drill for shale,” he said, speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos.
China's banking stress looms like Banquo's Ghost in Davos
DAVOS, SWITZERLAND - Bad debts in the Chinese banking system are four or five times higher than officially admitted and pose a mounting risk to the country's financial stability, the world's leading expert on debt has warned.
Harvard professor Ken Rogoff said China is the last big domino to fall as the global "debt supercycle" unwinds. This is likely to expose the sheer scale of malinvestment that has built up during the country's $26 trillion credit bubble.
Professor Rogoff said the official 1.5 percent rate of non-performing loans held by banks is fictitious. "People believe that as much as they believe the GDP data," he told the World Economic Forum in Davos. The real figure is between 6 percent and 8 percent. He warned that unexpected problems can come "jumping out of the woodwork" once a debt denouement unfolds in earnest.
Banks are disguising the damage by rolling over bad loans and pretending all is well, with the collusion of regulators, but this draws out the agony and ultimately furs up the financial arteries.
Mario Draghi denies that ECB bazooka is empty amid fears QE is turning toxic
DAVOS, SWITZERLAND - The European Central Bank has ample ammunition to fight a fresh global downturn and is ready to act decisively to stave off deflation if necessary, Mario Draghi has assured nervous investors in Davos.
The ECB's president sought to play down the violent market squall of recent weeks, insisting that Europe's economic recovery is well on track and may even accelerate as the refugee crisis leads to a surge of fiscal spending. Signs that the ECB is preparing a fresh blast of stimulus have halted the increasingly ominous slide in global equities, but there are fears that the bounce of the last two days may soon fade.
Axel Weber, the former Bundesbank chief and now head of UBS, said the balance of advantage had already turned negative. "There is a very clear limit to what the ECB can achieve. The problem is that monetary policy has largely run its course," he said in Davos. "The side effects of the medicine are getting stronger and stronger: the curative effects are getting weaker and weaker," he said, adding that the current turmoil in the markets is the first taste of the hangover, evidence of the price we may have to pay.
Paris to promote lifting of anti-Moscow sanctions by summer
FRANCE - France is going to assist in lifting sanctions imposed by the West on Russia by summer this year, Emmanuel Macron, France’s Minister of Economy, Industry and Digital Affairs, has announced. "The objective we all share is to provide the lifting of sanctions by the summer, as far as the [peace] process [in southeastern Ukraine] is respected," the French senior official said on Sunday while addressing French businessmen in Moscow, as cited by AFP. US Secretary of State John Kerry has also pointed out that the sanctions are to be removed when the package of Minsk peace deal measures is fulfilled. "It is possible in these next months to find those Minsk agreements implemented," Kerry said in a speech at the World Economic Forum in the Swiss city of Davos.
Norway’s largest bank calls for total end to cash
NORWAY - Norway’s largest bank, DNB, has said that cash has fallen out of favour with everyday Norwegians and is instead primarily used on the black market and in laundering schemes.
“Today, there is approximately 50 billion kroner in circulation and [central bank] Norges Bank can only account for 40 percent of its use. That means that 60 percent of money usage is outside of any control. We believe that is due to under-the-table money and laundering,” bank executive Trond Bentestuen told VG.
“There are so many dangers and disadvantages associated with cash, we have concluded that it should be phased out,” he added. Bentestuen said that only around six percent of the Norwegian population uses cash daily, with the numbers higher amongst the elderly.
Spain struck by major earthquake measuring 6.3 on Richter scale
SPAIN - Tourist hotspot Malaga has been hit by a major earthquake after a 6.3 magnitude tremor struck in the middle of the sea. Dramatic images from the aftermath showed rubble strewn across the street as hundreds of households reeled from the damage caused to their properties.
The earthquake hit about 100 miles south-east of the Spanish coast with a depth of 20 miles, the US Geological Survey said. But the reverberations would have been felt inland in Southern Spain and Morocco, according to official charts. The shallow quake hit at 4:22am UK time almost 40 miles north of the Moroccan city of Al Hoceima and 100 miles south of Gibraltar. It was followed by a 5.3-magnitude tremor. The earthquake comes just one day after a 7.1 magnitude quake struck southern Alaska.
Pope to visit Sweden to commemorate 500 years of Reformation
SWEDEN - The Vatican says that Pope Francis will visit Sweden in October to commemorate the 500th anniversary of the Reformation at celebrations planned in the southern city of Lund. The Vatican on Monday announced the one-day trip on October 31, the first papal visit to Sweden since 1989 when Pope John Paul II visited. The Lutheran World Church said in a separate release that the event, being held ahead of the Reformation anniversary in 2017, was meant to highlight "the solid ecumenical developments between Catholics and Lutherans." Celebrations will include a common worship based on a recently published Catholic Lutheran liturgical guide. Martin Luther's challenge to the Catholic doctrine of indulgences in 1517 is remembered as the start of the Reformation.
Frying vegetables in extra virgin olive oil is healthier than boiling them and prevents cancer, research shows
SPAIN - Vegetables fried in the oil increased in their anti-oxidant capacity and chemicals which prevent long-term diseases. Frying vegetables is healthier than boiling them and the way we perceive healthy cooking is about to be majorly re-shaped, a study by a Spanish university has shown.
It is often thought that by choosing how we cook our spuds and greens, we either make a healthy or an unhealthy meal. Over the years, research has led us to believe that frying vegetables is a big no-no, and masks the antioxidant properties with a thick layer of fat. However, the results of a series of experiments have turned official advice on its head.
Research has found that potatoes and other vegetables kept more of their health-boosting compounds when fried in olive oil than when boiled in water. The study has proved that vegetables fried in extra virgin olive oil increased their anti-oxidant capacity and chemicals which prevent long-term diseases such as cancer, diabetes and loss of eyesight.
Hidden settings reveal WhatsApp will share your data with Facebook
USA - Hidden menus in a recent beta version of the popular instant messaging app WhatsApp have indicated the company is preparing to start sharing the details of its users with parent company Facebook. Facebook bought WhatsApp in 2014. The two firms have remained largely separate until now. Facebook has allowed WhatsApp to do its own thing when updating its app and adding new features, keeping WhatsApp's 900 million users separate from the billion on its core social network.
Apple CEO Tim Cook met with Pope Francis at the Vatican
VATICAN - Apple CEO Tim Cook met with Pope Francis at the Vatican on Friday in a brief get-together. The two spoke for about 15 minutes surrounded by their personal teams and Vatican cameras. The meeting took place a week after the Catholic leader spent time with Eric Schmidt, the executive chairman of Google parent company Alphabet (GOOGL, Tech30). Silicon Valley wasn't on the Pope's agenda when he visited the United States in September, so visits from these key figures are prompting numerous theories. An Apple spokesperson did not immediately respond to questions about the nature of the meeting. Is the Vatican preparing to partner with Big Tech somehow? Or are the meetings largely a symbolic extension of the Pope's tech-friendly image?
US blizzard 2016: New York begins clear-up after mammoth snowfall
USA - A travel ban in New York City has ended as the eastern US begins digging out from the weekend's massive snowstorm. New York, the most populated city in the US, saw its second-highest snowfall since records began in 1869, Mayor Bill de Blasio said.
As five states saw snowfall of three feet (91cm) or more, the hazards of shovelling snow were brought home by at least six deaths. A further 12 people have died in other snow-related incidents since Friday. The storm, dubbed Snowmageddon and Snowzilla on social media, is weakening and heading for the Atlantic Ocean.
It has affected some 85 million people, cutting power to 200,000 people. The heaviest fall was recorded in Glengary, West Virginia, which had 42ins (107 cm). In Washington DC, the metro is set to remain closed and air travel in the region faces further disruption. Some 7,000 flights were cancelled this weekend and disruption is to continue into the working week, with at least 615 cancelled for Monday.
Only Germany can tame East-West tensions in Europe
GERMANY - Even on its own, the refugee and migrant crisis is stirring such discord among governments as to threaten EU unity. Now, however, this threat is intensifying because of tensions over EU policy towards Russia and the actions of a conservative nationalist government in Poland that is aligned with Hungary’s self-styled illiberal democracy. At stake is the EU’s biggest achievement since the demise of communism in 1989-91: the healing of the post-second world war division between western and east-central Europe.
Sweden’s imposition of border checks on the Oresund bridge with Denmark, and the Danish government’s decision to do the same on its border with Germany, shows that the obstacles to a common response to the refugee crisis do not arise in central and eastern Europe alone. Nevertheless, it is the particular diagnosis of the problem in countries such as Hungary, Poland and Slovakia that distances them from their western partners.
Only Germany has the strength, strategic interest and sense of historical responsibility to prevent west and east from drifting apart. France is wrapped up in its unilaterally declared “war” on Islamist terror while the UK is wrestling with the question of Brexit — whether to leave the EU.
The political pressures on Ms Merkel from the refugee crisis will not abate: five of Germany’s 16 states will hold elections this year, and a federal election is due in 2017. The burden of responsibility on her and Germany’s political classes is heavy indeed.
GERMANY threatens Schengen zone
GERMANY - Germany's interior minister said on Thursday that he could see no end to the temporary border checks with Austria to regulate the flow of asylum seekers, delivering a further blow to Europe’s passport-free zone. Thomas de Maiziere suggested Germany could extend the controls, first introduced in September as the migrant crisis worsened, for up to two years – the maximum that is allowed under the Schengen agreement – and a move that could permanently fracture the EU's open-border policy. "I don't foresee a moment when we can end it," Mr de Maiziere said of the border controls, as a new surge of migrants is expected to enter Europe through Turkey and Greece in the next few weeks.
Germany takes refugees' valuables 'to pay for their stay'
GERMANY - Germany's southern states are confiscating cash and valuables from refugees after they arrive, authorities in Bavaria confirmed on Thursday. "The practice in Bavaria and the federal rules set out in law correspond in substance with the process in Switzerland," Bavarian interior minister Joachim Herrmann told Bild on Thursday. "Cash holdings and valuables can be secured [by the authorities] if they are over €750 and if the person has an outstanding bill, or is expected to have one." Authorities in Baden-Württemberg have a tougher regime, where police confiscate cash and valuables above €350. The average amount per person confiscated by authorities in the southern states was "in the four figures," Bild reported.
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